Saturday, February 26, 2011

My Absolutely Uninformed Oscar Predictions

If I've managed to see three films that are nominated for an Academy Award this year, I'd be surprised.

But my complete lack of exposure won't stop me from telling you who I think is going to win.

Writing (Original Screenplay)
Another Year
Inception
The Fighter
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winters Bone

Visual Effects
Alice in Wonderland
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I
Hereafter
Inception
Iron Man 2

Sound Mixing
Inception
The King's Speech
Salt
The Social Network
True Grit

Sound Editing
Inception
Toy Story 3
Tron: Legacy
True Grit
Unstoppable

Short Film (Live Action)
The Confession
The Crush
God of Love
Na Wewe
Wish 143


Short Film (Animated)
Day & Night
The Gruffalo
Let's Pollute
The Lost Thing
Magadascar, a Journey Diary

Music (Original Song)
Country Strong "Coming Home"
Tangled "I See the Light"
127 Hours "If I Rise"
Toy Story 3 "We Belong Together"

Music (Original Score)
How to Train Your Dragon
Inception
The King's Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network

Makeup
Barney's Version
The Way Back
The Wolfman

Foreign Language Film
Biutiful
Dogtooth
In a Better World
Incendies
Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi)

Film Editing
Black Swan
The Fighter
The King's Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network

Documentary Short Subject
Killing in the Name
Poster Girl
Strangers No More
Sun Come Up
The Warriors of Quigang

Documentary Feature
Exit Through the Gift Shop
Gasland
Inside Job
Restrepo
Waste Land

Directing
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
David O. Russell, The Fighter
Tom Hooper, The King's Speech
David Fincher, The Social Network
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen, True Grit

Costume Design
Alice in Wonderland
I Am Love
The King's Speech
The Tempest
True Grit

Cinematography
Black Swan
Inception
The King's Speech
The Social Network
True Grit

Art Direction
Alice in Wonderland
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I
Inception
The King's Speech
True Grit

Animated Feature Film
How to Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist
Toy Story 3

Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams, The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

Actress in a Leading Role
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

Actor in a Supprting Role
Christian Bale, The Fighter
John Hawkes, Winter's Bone
Jeremy Renner, The Town
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech

Actor in a Leading Role
Javier Bardem, Biutiful
Jeff Bridges, True Grit
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours

Best Picture
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
127 Hours
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter's Bone

9 comments:

forever_peace_girl said...

My first misfire of the night was Art Direction going to Alice in Wonderland.

And then Cinematography went to Inception.

David said...

Sorry. I was signed in with Sarah's account.

David said...

Melissa Leo upset Hailee Steinfeld. And somewhere, Anna Pacquin is sitting smugly prepping for another X Men movie.

David said...

Now The Lost Thing beat my pick The Gruffalo.

But then Toy Story 3 won best Animated Feature Film and something got a bit better.

David said...

At just about an hour in, I'm 1 for 7, thanks to getting neither of the Screenplay awards correct.

David said...

In a Better World's win put me so far in the hole, I may never recover. 1 for 8.

If I do this badly at March Madness, I'm in real trouble.

David said...

I thought Geoffrey Rush was a shoe-in, a lock. But that is what is going on tonight for me.

David said...

Trent Reznor's win (yes, let that sink in) made me 1 for 10. But I'm having trouble keeping track. It's just a blur of failure now.

David said...

I give up. I'm not tallying any more. Just assume I got them all wrong and check against the winners, which I think can be seen here: http://oscar.go.com/nominations